Continuation of: Changing Your Metaethics, Setting Up Metaethics
Followup to: Does Your Morality Care What You Think?, The Moral Void, Probability is Subjectively Objective, Could Anything Be Right?, The Gift We Give To Tomorrow, Rebelling Within Nature, Where Recursive Justification Hits Bottom, ...
(The culmination of a long series of Overcoming Bias posts; if you start here, I accept no responsibility for any resulting confusion, misunderstanding, or unnecessary angst.)
What is morality? What does the word "should", mean? The many pieces are in place: This question I shall now dissolve.
The key - as it has always been, in my experience so far - is to understand how a certain cognitive algorithm feels from inside. Standard procedure for righting a wrong question: If you don't know what right-ness is, then take a step beneath and ask how your brain labels things "right".
It is not the same question - it has no moral aspects to it, being strictly a matter of fact and cognitive science. But it is an illuminating question. Once we know how our brain labels things "right", perhaps we shall find it easier, afterward, to ask what is really and truly right.
But with that said - the easiest way to begin investigating that question, will be to jump back up to the level of morality and ask what seems right. And if that seems like too much recursion, get used to it - the other 90% of the work lies in handling recursion properly.
(Should you find your grasp on meaningfulness wavering, at any time following, check Changing Your Metaethics for the appropriate prophylactic.)
So! In order to investigate how the brain labels things "right", we are going to start out by talking about what is right. That is, we'll start out wearing our morality-goggles, in which we consider morality-as-morality and talk about moral questions directly. As opposed to wearing our reduction-goggles, in which we talk about cognitive algorithms and mere physics. Rigorously distinguishing between these two views is the first step toward mating them together.
As a first step, I offer this observation, on the level of morality-as-morality: Rightness is contagious backward in time.
Suppose there is a switch, currently set to OFF, and it is morally desirable for this switch to be flipped to ON. Perhaps the switch controls the emergency halt on a train bearing down on a child strapped to the railroad tracks, this being my canonical example. If this is the case, then, ceteris paribus and presuming the absence of exceptional conditions or further consequences that were not explicitly specified, we may consider it right that this switch should be flipped.
If it is right to flip the switch, then it is right to pull a string that flips the switch. If it is good to pull a string that flips the switch, it is right and proper to press a button that pulls the string: Pushing the button seems to have more should-ness than not pushing it.
It seems that - all else being equal, and assuming no other consequences or exceptional conditions which were not specified - value flows backward along arrows of causality.
Even in deontological moralities, if you're obligated to save the child on the tracks, then you're obligated to press the button. Only very primitive AI systems have motor outputs controlled by strictly local rules that don't model the future at all. Duty-based or virtue-based ethics are only slightly less consequentialist than consequentialism. It's hard to say whether moving your arm left or right is more virtuous without talking about what happens next.
Among my readers, there may be some who presently assert - though I hope to persuade them otherwise - that the life of a child is of no value to them. If so, they may substitute anything else that they prefer, at the end of the switch, and ask if they should press the button.
But I also suspect that, among my readers, there are some who wonder if the true morality might be something quite different from what is presently believed among the human kind. They may find it imaginable - plausible? - that human life is of no value, or negative value. They may wonder if the goodness of human happiness, is as much a self-serving delusion as the justice of slavery.
I myself was once numbered among these skeptics, because I was always very suspicious of anything that looked self-serving.
Now here's a little question I never thought to ask, during those years when I thought I knew nothing about morality:
Could make sense to have a morality in which, if we should save the child from the train tracks, then we should not flip the switch, should pull the string, and should not push the button, so that, finally, we do not push the button?
Or perhaps someone says that it is better to save the child, than to not save them; but doesn't see why anyone would think this implies it is better to press the button than not press it. (Note the resemblance to the Tortoise who denies modus ponens.)
It seems imaginable, to at least some people, that entirely different things could be should. It didn't seem nearly so imaginable, at least to me, that should-ness could fail to flow backward in time. When I was trying to question everything else, that thought simply did not occur to me.
Can you question it? Should you?
Every now and then, in the course of human existence, we question what should be done and what is right to do, what is better or worse; others come to us with assertions along these lines, and we question them, asking "Why is it right?" Even when we believe a thing is right (because someone told us that it is, or because we wordlessly feel that it is) we may still question why it is right.
Should-ness, it seems, flows backward in time. This gives us one way to question why or whether a particular event has the should-ness property. We can look for some consequence that has the should-ness property. If so, the should-ness of the original event seems to have been plausibly proven or explained.
Ah, but what about the consequence - why is it should? Someone comes to you and says, "You should give me your wallet, because then I'll have your money, and I should have your money." If, at this point, you stop asking questions about should-ness, you're vulnerable to a moral mugging.
So we keep asking the next question. Why should we press the button? To pull the string. Why should we pull the string? To flip the switch. Why should we flip the switch? To pull the child from the railroad tracks. Why pull the child from the railroad tracks? So that they live. Why should the child live?
Now there are people who, caught up in the enthusiasm, go ahead and answer that question in the same style: for example, "Because the child might eventually grow up and become a trade partner with you," or "Because you will gain honor in the eyes of others," or "Because the child may become a great scientist and help achieve the Singularity," or some such. But even if we were to answer in this style, it would only beg the next question.
Even if you try to have a chain of should stretching into the infinite future - a trick I've yet to see anyone try to pull, by the way, though I may be only ignorant of the breadths of human folly - then you would simply ask "Why that chain rather than some other?"
Another way that something can be should, is if there's a general rule that makes it should. If your belief pool starts out with the general rule "All children X: It is better for X to live than to die", then it is quite a short step to "It is better for Stephanie to live than to die". Ah, but why save all children? Because they may all become trade partners or scientists? But then where did that general rule come from?
If should-ness only comes from should-ness - from a should-consequence, or from a should-universal - then how does anything end up should in the first place?
Now human beings have argued these issues for thousands of years and maybe much longer. We do not hesitate to continue arguing when we reach a terminal value (something that has a charge of should-ness independently of its consequences). We just go on arguing about the universals.
I usually take, as my archetypal example, the undoing of slavery: Somehow, slaves' lives went from having no value to having value. Nor do I think that, back at the dawn of time, anyone was even trying to argue that slaves were better off being slaves (as it would be latter argued). They'd probably have looked at you like you were crazy if you even tried. Somehow, we got from there, to here...
And some of us would even hold this up as a case of moral progress, and look at our ancestors as having made a moral error. Which seems easy enough to describe in terms of should-ness: Our ancestors thought that they should enslave defeated enemies, but they were mistaken.
But all our philosophical arguments ultimately seem to ground in statements that no one has bothered to justify - except perhaps to plead that they are self-evident, or that any reasonable mind must surely agree, or that they are a priori truths, or some such. Perhaps, then, all our moral beliefs are as erroneous as that old bit about slavery? Perhaps we have entirely misperceived the flowing streams of should?
So I once believed was plausible; and one of the arguments I wish I could go back and say to myself, is, "If you know nothing at all about should-ness, then how do you know that the procedure, 'Do whatever Emperor Ming says' is not the entirety of should-ness? Or even worse, perhaps, the procedure, 'Do whatever maximizes inclusive genetic fitness' or 'Do whatever makes you personally happy'." The point here would have been to make my past self see that in rejecting these rules, he was asserting a kind of knowledge - that to say, "This is not morality," he must reveal that, despite himself, he knows something about morality or meta-morality. Otherwise, the procedure "Do whatever Emperor Ming says" would seem just as plausible, as a guiding principle, as his current path of "Rejecting things that seem unjustified." Unjustified - according to what criterion of justification? Why trust the principle that says that moral statements need to be justified, if you know nothing at all about morality?
What indeed would distinguish, at all, the question "What is right?" from "What is wrong?"
What is "right", if you can't say "good" or "desirable" or "better" or "preferable" or "moral" or "should"? What happens if you try to carry out the operation of replacing the symbol with what it stands for?
If you're guessing that I'm trying to inveigle you into letting me say: "Well, there are just some things that are baked into the question, when you start asking questions about morality, rather than wakalixes or toaster ovens", then you would be right. I'll be making use of that later, and, yes, will address "But why should we ask that question?"
Okay, now: morality-goggles off, reduction-goggles on.
Those who remember Possibility and Could-ness, or those familiar with simple search techniques in AI, will realize that the "should" label is behaving like the inverse of the "could" label, which we previously analyzed in terms of "reachability". Reachability spreads forward in time: if I could reach the state with the button pressed, I could reach the state with the string pulled; if I could reach the state with the string pulled, I could reach the state with the switch flipped.
Where the "could" label and the "should" label collide, the algorithm produces a plan.
Now, as I say this, I suspect that at least some readers may find themselves fearing that I am about to reduce should-ness to a mere artifact of a way that a planning system feels from inside. Once again I urge you to check Changing Your Metaethics, if this starts to happen. Remember above all the Moral Void: Even if there were no morality, you could still choose to help people rather than hurt them. This, above all, holds in place what you hold precious, while your beliefs about the nature of morality change.
I do not intend, with this post, to take away anything of value; it will all be given back before the end.
Now this algorithm is not very sophisticated, as AI algorithms go, but to apply it in full generality - to learned information, not just ancestrally encountered, genetically programmed situations - is a rare thing among animals. Put a food reward in a transparent box. Put the matching key, which looks unique and uniquely corresponds to that box, in another transparent box. Put the unique key to that box in another box. Do this with five boxes. Mix in another sequence of five boxes that doesn't lead to a food reward. Then offer a choice of two keys, one of which starts the sequence of five boxes leading to food, one of which starts the sequence leading nowhere.
Chimpanzees can learn to do this, but so far as I know, no non-primate species can pull that trick.
And as smart as chimpanzees are, they are not quite as good as humans at inventing plans - plans such as, for example, planting in the spring to harvest in the fall.
So what else are humans doing, in the way of planning?
It is a general observation that natural selection seems to reuse existing complexity, rather than creating things from scratch, whenever it possibly can - though not always in the same way that a human engineer would. It is a function of the enormous time required for evolution to create machines with many interdependent parts, and the vastly shorter time required to create a mutated copy of something already evolved.
What else are humans doing? Quite a bit, and some of it I don't understand - there are plans humans make, that no modern-day AI can.
But one of the things we are doing, is reasoning about "right-ness" the same way we would reason about any other observable property.
Are animals with bright colors often poisonous? Does the delicious nid-nut grow only in the spring? Is it usually a good idea to take with a waterskin on long hunts?
It seems that Martha and Fred have an obligation to take care of their child, and Jane and Bob are obligated to take care of their child, and Susan and Wilson have a duty to care for their child. Could it be that parents in general must take care of their children?
By representing right-ness as an attribute of objects, you can recruit a whole previously evolved system that reasons about the attributes of objects. You can save quite a lot of planning time, if you decide (based on experience) that in general it is a good idea to take a waterskin on hunts, from which it follows that it must be a good idea to take a waterskin on hunt #342.
Is this damnable for a Mind Projection Fallacy - treating properties of the mind as if they were out there in the world?
Depends on how you look at it.
This business of, "It's been a good idea to take waterskins on the last three hunts, maybe it's a good idea in general, if so it's a good idea to take a waterskin on this hunt", does seem to work.
Let's say that your mind, faced with any countable set of objects, automatically and perceptually tagged them with their remainder modulo 5. If you saw a group of 17 objects, for example, they would look remainder-2-ish. Though, if you didn't have any notion of what your neurons were doing, and perhaps no notion of modulo arithmetic, you would only see that the group of 17 objects had the same remainder-ness as a group of 2 objects. You might not even know how to count - your brain doing the whole thing automatically, subconsciously and neurally - in which case you would just have five different words for the remainder-ness attributes that we would call 0, 1, 2, 3, and 4.
If you look out upon the world you see, and guess that remainder-ness is a separate and additional attribute of things - like the attribute of having an electric charge - or like a tiny little XML tag hanging off of things - then you will be wrong. But this does not mean it is nonsense to talk about remainder-ness, or that you must automatically commit the Mind Projection Fallacy in doing so. So long as you've got a well-defined way to compute a property, it can have a well-defined output and hence an empirical truth condition.
If you're looking at 17 objects, then their remainder-ness is, indeed and truly, 2, and not 0, 3, 4, or 1. If I tell you, "Those red things you told me to look at are remainder-2-ish", you have indeed been told a falsifiable and empirical property of those red things. It is just not a separate, additional, physically existent attribute.
And as for reasoning about derived properties, and which other inherent or derived properties they correlate to - I don't see anything inherently fallacious about that.
One may notice, for example, that things which are 7 modulo 10 are often also 2 modulo 5. Empirical observations of this sort play a large role in mathematics, suggesting theorems to prove. (See Polya's How To Solve It.)
Indeed, virtually all the experience we have, is derived by complicated neural computations from the raw physical events impinging on our sense organs. By the time you see anything, it has been extensively processed by the retina, lateral geniculate nucleus, visual cortex, parietal cortex, and temporal cortex, into a very complex sort of derived computational property.
If you thought of a property like redness as residing strictly in an apple, you would be committing the Mind Projection Fallacy. The apple's surface has a reflectance which sends out a mixture of wavelengths that impinge on your retina and are processed with respect to ambient light to extract a summary color of red... But if you tell me that the apple is red, rather than green, and make no claims as to whether this is an ontologically fundamental physical attribute of the apple, then I am quite happy to agree with you.
So as long as there is a stable computation involved, or a stable process - even if you can't consciously verbalize the specification - it often makes a great deal of sense to talk about properties that are not fundamental. And reason about them, and remember where they have been found in the past, and guess where they will be found next.
(In retrospect, that should have been a separate post in the Reductionism sequence. "Derived Properties", or "Computational Properties" maybe. Oh, well; I promised you morality this day, and this day morality you shall have.)
Now let's say we want to make a little machine, one that will save the lives of children. (This enables us to save more children than we could do without a machine, just like you can move more dirt with a shovel than by hand.) The machine will be a planning machine, and it will reason about events that may or may not have the property, leads-to-child-living.
A simple planning machine would just have a pre-made model of the environmental process. It would search forward from its actions, applying a label that we might call "reachable-from-action-ness", but which might as well say "Xybliz" internally for all that it matters to the program. And it would search backward from scenarios, situations, in which the child lived, labeling these "leads-to-child-living". If situation X leads to situation Y, and Y has the label "leads-to-child-living" - which might just be a little flag bit, for all the difference it would make - then X will inherit the flag from Y. When the two labels meet in the middle, the leads-to-child-living flag will quickly trace down the stored path of reachability, until finally some particular sequence of actions ends up labeled "leads-to-child-living". Then the machine automatically executes those actions - that's just what the machine does.
Now this machine is not complicated enough to feel existential angst. It is not complicated enough to commit the Mind Projection Fallacy. It is not, in fact, complicated enough to reason abstractly about the property "leads-to-child-living-ness". The machine - as specified so far - does not notice if the action "jump in the air" turns out to always have this property, or never have this property. If "jump in the air" always led to situations in which the child lived, this could greatly simplify future planning - but only if the machine were sophisticated enough to notice this fact and use it.
If it is a fact that "jump in the air" "leads-to-child-living-ness", this fact is composed of empirical truth and logical truth. It is an empirical truth that if the world is such that if you perform the (ideal abstract) algorithm "trace back from situations where the child lives", then it will be a logical truth about the output of this (ideal abstract) algorithm that it labels the "jump in the air" action.
(You cannot always define this fact in entirely empirical terms, by looking for the physical real-world coincidence of jumping and child survival. It might be that "stomp left" also always saves the child, and the machine in fact stomps left. In which case the fact that jumping in the air would have saved the child, is a counterfactual extrapolation.)
Okay, now we're ready to bridge the levels.
As you must surely have guessed by now, this should-ness stuff is how the human decision algorithm feels from inside. It is not an extra, physical, ontologically fundamental attribute hanging off of events like a tiny little XML tag.
But it is a moral question what we should do about that - how we should react to it.
To adopt an attitude of complete nihilism, because we wanted those tiny little XML tags, and they're not physically there, strikes me as the wrong move. It is like supposing that the absence of an XML tag, equates to the XML tag being there, saying in its tiny brackets what value we should attach, and having value zero. And then this value zero, in turn, equating to a moral imperative to wear black, feel awful, write gloomy poetry, betray friends, and commit suicide.
No.
So what would I say instead?
The force behind my answer is contained in The Moral Void and The Gift We Give To Tomorrow. I would try to save lives "even if there were no morality", as it were.
And it seems like an awful shame to - after so many millions and hundreds of millions of years of evolution - after the moral miracle of so much cutthroat genetic competition producing intelligent minds that love, and hope, and appreciate beauty, and create beauty - after coming so far, to throw away the Gift of morality, just because our brain happened to represent morality in such fashion as to potentially mislead us when we reflect on the nature of morality.
This little accident of the Gift doesn't seem like a good reason to throw away the Gift; it certainly isn't a inescapable logical justification for wearing black.
Why not keep the Gift, but adjust the way we reflect on it?
So here's my metaethics:
I earlier asked,
What is "right", if you can't say "good" or "desirable" or "better" or "preferable" or "moral" or "should"? What happens if you try to carry out the operation of replacing the symbol with what it stands for?
I answer that if you try to replace the symbol "should" with what it stands for, you end up with quite a large sentence.
For the much simpler save-life machine, the "should" label stands for leads-to-child-living-ness.
For a human this is a much huger blob of a computation that looks like, "Did everyone survive? How many people are happy? Are people in control of their own lives? ..." Humans have complex emotions, have many values - the thousand shards of desire, the godshatter of natural selection. I would say, by the way, that the huge blob of a computation is not just my present terminal values (which I don't really have - I am not a consistent expected utility maximizers); the huge blob of a computation includes the specification of those moral arguments, those justifications, that would sway me if I heard them. So that I can regard my present values, as an approximation to the ideal morality that I would have if I heard all the arguments, to whatever extent such an extrapolation is coherent.
No one can write down their big computation; it is not just too large, it is also unknown to its user. No more could you print out a listing of the neurons in your brain. You never mention your big computation - you only use it, every hour of every day.
Now why might one identify this enormous abstract computation, with what-is-right?
If you identify rightness with this huge computational property, then moral judgments are subjunctively objective (like math), subjectively objective (like probability), and capable of being true (like counterfactuals).
You will find yourself saying, "If I wanted to kill someone - even if I thought it was right to kill someone - that wouldn't make it right." Why? Because what is right is a huge computational property - an abstract computation - not tied to the state of anyone's brain, including your own brain.
This distinction was introduced earlier in 2-Place and 1-Place Words. We can treat the word "sexy" as a 2-place function that goes out and hoovers up someone's sense of sexiness, and then eats an object of admiration. Or we can treat the word "sexy" as meaning a 1-place function, a particular sense of sexiness, like Sexiness_20934, that only accepts one argument, an object of admiration.
Here we are treating morality as a 1-place function. It does not accept a person as an argument, spit out whatever cognitive algorithm they use to choose between actions, and then apply that algorithm to the situation at hand. When I say right, I mean a certain particular 1-place function that just asks, "Did the child live? Did anyone else get killed? Are people happy? Are they in control of their own lives? Has justice been served?" ... and so on through many, many other elements of rightness. (And perhaps those arguments that might persuade me otherwise, which I have not heard.)
Hence the notion, "Replace the symbol with what it stands for."
Since what's right is a 1-place function, if I subjunctively imagine a world in which someone has slipped me a pill that makes me want to kill people, then, in this subjunctive world, it is not right to kill people. That's not merely because I'm judging with my current brain. It's because when I say right, I am referring to a 1-place function. Rightness doesn't go out and hoover up the current state of my brain, in this subjunctive world, before producing the judgment "Oh, wait, it's now okay to kill people." When I say right, I don't mean "that which my future self wants", I mean the function that looks at a situation and asks, "Did anyone get killed? Are people happy? Are they in control of their own lives? ..."
And once you've defined a particular abstract computation that says what is right - or even if you haven't defined it, and it's computed in some part of your brain you can't perfectly print out, but the computation is stable - more or less - then as with any other derived property, it makes sense to speak of a moral judgment being true. If I say that today was a good day, you've learned something empirical and falsifiable about my day - if it turns out that actually my grandmother died, you will suspect that I was originally lying.
The apparent objectivity of morality has just been explained - and not explained away. For indeed, if someone slipped me a pill that made me want to kill people, nonetheless, it would not be right to kill people. Perhaps I would actually kill people, in that situation - but that is because something other than morality would be controlling my actions.
Morality is not just subjunctively objective, but subjectively objective. I experience it as something I cannot change. Even after I know that it's myself who computes this 1-place function, and not a rock somewhere - even after I know that I will not find any star or mountain that computes this function, that only upon me is it written - even so, I find that I wish to save lives, and that even if I could change this by an act of will, I would not choose to do so. I do not wish to reject joy, or beauty, or freedom. What else would I do instead? I do not wish to reject the Gift that natural selection accidentally barfed into me. This is the principle of The Moral Void and The Gift We Give To Tomorrow.
Our origins may seem unattractive, our brains untrustworthy.
But love has to enter the universe somehow, starting from non-love, or love cannot enter time.
And if our brains are untrustworthy, it is only our own brains that say so. Do you sometimes think that human beings are not very nice? Then it is you, a human being, who says so. It is you, a human being, who judges that human beings could do better. You will not find such written upon the stars or the mountains: they are not minds, they cannot think.
In this, of course, we find a justificational strange loop through the meta-level. Which is unavoidable so far as I can see - you can't argue morality, or any kind of goal optimization, into a rock. But note the exact structure of this strange loop: there is no general moral principle which says that you should do what evolution programmed you to do. There is, indeed, no general principle to trust your moral intuitions! You can find a moral intuition within yourself, describe it - quote it - consider it deliberately and in the full light of your entire morality, and reject it, on grounds of other arguments. What counts as an argument is also built into the rightness-function.
Just as, in the strange loop of rationality, there is no general principle in rationality to trust your brain, or to believe what evolution programmed you to believe - but indeed, when you ask which parts of your brain you need to rebel against, you do so using your current brain. When you ask whether the universe is simple, you can consider the simple hypothesis that the universe's apparent simplicity is explained by its actual simplicity.
Rather than trying to unwind ourselves into rocks, I proposed that we should use the full strength of our current rationality, in reflecting upon ourselves - that no part of ourselves be immune from examination, and that we use all of ourselves that we currently believe in to examine it.
You would do the same thing with morality; if you consider that a part of yourself might be considered harmful, then use your best current guess at what is right, your full moral strength, to do the considering. Why should we want to unwind ourselves to a rock? Why should we do less than our best, when reflecting? You can't unwind past Occam's Razor, modus ponens, or morality and it's not clear why you should try.
For any part of rightness, you can always imagine another part that overrides it - it would not be right to drag the child from the train tracks, if this resulted in everyone on Earth becoming unable to love - or so I would judge. For every part of rightness you examine, you will find that it cannot be the sole and perfect and only criterion of rightness. This may lead to the incorrect inference that there is something beyond, some perfect and only criterion from which all the others are derived - but that does not follow. The whole is the sum of the parts. We ran into an analogous situation with free will, where no part of ourselves seems perfectly decisive.
The classic dilemma for those who would trust their moral intuitions, I believe, is the one who says: "Interracial marriage is repugnant - it disgusts me - and that is my moral intuition!" I reply, "There is no general rule to obey your intuitions. You just mentioned intuitions, rather than using them. Very few people have legitimate cause to mention intuitions - Friendly AI programmers, for example, delving into the cognitive science of things, have a legitimate reason to mention them. Everyone else just has ordinary moral arguments, in which they use their intuitions, for example, by saying, 'An interracial marriage doesn't hurt anyone, if both parties consent'. I do not say, 'And I have an intuition that anything consenting adults do is right, and all intuitions must be obeyed, therefore I win.' I just offer up that argument, and any others I can think of, to weigh in the balance."
Indeed, evolution that made us cannot be trusted - so there is no general principle to trust it! Rightness is not defined in terms of automatic correspondence to any possible decision we actually make - so there's no general principle that says you're infallible! Just do what is, ahem, right - to the best of your ability to weigh the arguments you have heard, and ponder the arguments you may not have heard.
If you were hoping to have a perfectly trustworthy system, or to have been created in correspondence with a perfectly trustworthy morality - well, I can't give that back to you; but even most religions don't try that one. Even most religions have the human psychology containing elements of sin, and even most religions don't actually give you an effectively executable and perfect procedure, though they may tell you "Consult the Bible! It always works!"
If you hoped to find a source of morality outside humanity - well, I can't give that back, but I can ask once again: Why would you even want that? And what good would it do? Even if there were some great light in the sky - something that could tell us, "Sorry, happiness is bad for you, pain is better, now get out there and kill some babies!" - it would still be your own decision to follow it. You cannot evade responsibility.
There isn't enough mystery left to justify reasonable doubt as to whether the causal origin of morality is something outside humanity. We have evolutionary psychology. We know where morality came from. We pretty much know how it works, in broad outline at least. We know there are no little XML value tags on electrons (and indeed, even if you found them, why should you pay attention to what is written there?)
If you hoped that morality would be universalizable - sorry, that one I really can't give back. Well, unless we're just talking about humans. Between neurologically intact humans, there is indeed much cause to hope for overlap and coherence; and a great and reasonable doubt as to whether any present disagreement is really unresolvable, even it seems to be about "values". The obvious reason for hope is the psychological unity of humankind, and the intuitions of symmetry, universalizability, and simplicity that we execute in the course of our moral arguments. (In retrospect, I should have done a post on Interpersonal Morality before this...)
If I tell you that three people have found a pie and are arguing about how to divide it up, the thought "Give one-third of the pie to each" is bound to occur to you - and if the three people are humans, it's bound to occur to them, too. If one of them is a psychopath and insists on getting the whole pie, though, there may be nothing for it but to say: "Sorry, fairness is not 'what everyone thinks is fair', fairness is everyone getting a third of the pie". You might be able to resolve the remaining disagreement by politics and game theory, short of violence - but that is not the same as coming to agreement on values. (Maybe you could persuade the psychopath that taking a pill to be more human, if one were available, would make them happier? Would you be justified in forcing them to swallow the pill? These get us into stranger waters that deserve a separate post.)
If I define rightness to include the space of arguments that move me, then when you and I argue about what is right, we are arguing our approximations to what we would come to believe if we knew all empirical facts and had a million years to think about it - and that might be a lot closer than the present and heated argument. Or it might not. This gets into the notion of 'construing an extrapolated volition' which would be, again, a separate post.
But if you were stepping outside the human and hoping for moral arguments that would persuade any possible mind, even a mind that just wanted to maximize the number of paperclips in the universe, then sorry - the space of possible mind designs is too large to permit universally compelling arguments. You are better off treating your intuition that your moral arguments ought to persuade others, as applying only to other humans who are more or less neurologically intact. Trying it on human psychopaths would be dangerous, yet perhaps possible. But a paperclip maximizer is just not the sort of mind that would be moved by a moral argument. (This will definitely be a separate post.)
Once, in my wild and reckless youth, I tried dutifully - I thought it was my duty - to be ready and willing to follow the dictates of a great light in the sky, an external objective morality, when I discovered it. I questioned everything, even altruism toward human lives, even the value of happiness. Finally I realized that there was no foundation but humanity - no evidence pointing to even a reasonable doubt that there was anything else - and indeed I shouldn't even want to hope for anything else - and indeed would have no moral cause to follow the dictates of a light in the sky, even if I found one.
I didn't get back immediately all the pieces of myself that I had tried to deprecate - it took time for the realization "There is nothing else" to sink in. The notion that humanity could just... you know... live and have fun... seemed much too good to be true, so I mistrusted it. But eventually, it sank in that there really was nothing else to take the place of beauty. And then I got it back.
So you see, it all really does add up to moral normality, very exactly in fact. You go on with the same morals as before, and the same moral arguments as before. There is no sudden Grand Overlord Procedure to which you can appeal to get a perfectly trustworthy answer. You don't know, cannot print out, the great rightness-function; and even if you could, you would not have enough computational power to search the entire specified space of arguments that might move you. You will just have to argue it out.
I suspect that a fair number of those who propound metaethics do so in order to have it add up to some new and unusual moral - else why would they bother? In my case, I bother because I am a Friendly AI programmer and I have to make a physical system outside myself do what's right; for which purpose metaethics becomes very important indeed. But for the most part, the effect of my proffered metaethic is threefold:
- Anyone worried that reductionism drains the meaning from existence can stop worrying;
- Anyone who was rejecting parts of their human existence based on strange metaethics - i.e., "Why should I care about others, if that doesn't help me maximize my inclusive genetic fitness?" - can welcome back all the parts of themselves that they once exiled.
- You can stop arguing about metaethics, and go back to whatever ordinary moral argument you were having before then. This knowledge will help you avoid metaethical mistakes that mess up moral arguments, but you can't actually use it to settle debates unless you can build a Friendly AI.
And, oh yes - why is it right to save a child's life?
Well... you could ask "Is this event that just happened, right?" and find that the child had survived, in which case you would have discovered the nonobvious empirical fact about the world, that it had come out right.
Or you could start out already knowing a complicated state of the world, but still have to apply the rightness-function to it in a nontrivial way - one involving a complicated moral argument, or extrapolating consequences into the future - in which case you would learn the nonobvious logical / computational fact that rightness, applied to this situation, yielded thumbs-up.
In both these cases, there are nonobvious facts to learn, which seem to explain why what just happened is right.
But if you ask "Why is it good to be happy?" and then replace the symbol 'good' with what it stands for, you'll end up with a question like "Why does happiness match {happiness + survival + justice + individuality + ...}?" This gets computed so fast, that it scarcely seems like there's anything there to be explained. It's like asking "Why does 4 = 4?" instead of "Why does 2 + 2 = 4?"
Now, I bet that feels quite a bit like what happens when I ask you: "Why is happiness good?"
Right?
And that's also my answer to Moore's Open Question. Why is this big function I'm talking about, right? Because when I say "that big function", and you say "right", we are dereferencing two different pointers to the same unverbalizable abstract computation. I mean, that big function I'm talking about, happens to be the same thing that labels things right in your own brain. You might reflect on the pieces of the quotation of the big function, but you would start out by using your sense of right-ness to do it. If you had the perfect empirical knowledge to taboo both "that big function" and "right", substitute what the pointers stood for, and write out the full enormity of the resulting sentence, it would come out as... sorry, I can't resist this one... A=A.
Mike Blume: Do you claim that the CEV of a pygmy father would assert that his daughter's clitoris should not be sliced off? Or that the CEV of a petty thief would assert that he should not possess my iPod?
Mike, a coherent extrapolated volition is generally something you do with more than one extrapolated volition at once, though I suppose you could extrapolate a single human's volition into a spread of outcomes and look for coherence in the spread. But this level of metaethics is of interest primarily to FAIfolk, I would think.
With that said, if I were building a Friendly AI, I would probably be aiming to construe 'extrapolated volitions' across at least the same kind of gaps that separate Archimedes from the modern world. Whether you can do this on a strictly individual extrapolation - whether Archimedes, alone in a spacesuit and thinking, would eventually cross the gap on his own - is an interesting question.
At the very least, you should imagine the pygmy father having full knowledge of the alternate lives his daughter would lead, as though he had lived them himself - though that might or might imply full empathy, it would at the least imply full knowledge.
And at the very least, imagine the petty thief reading through everything ever written in the Library of Congress, including everything ever written about morality.
This advice is hardly helpful in day-to-day moral reasoning, of course, unless you're actually building an AI with that kind of extrapolative power.
Vladimir Nesov: 'Same moral arguments as before' doesn't seem like an answer, in the same sense as 'you should continue as before' is not a good advice for cavemen (who could benefit from being brought into modern civilization). If cavemen can vaguely describe what they want from environment, this vague explanation can be used to produce optimized environment by sufficiently powerful optimization process that is external to cavemen...
At this point you're working with Friendly AI. Then, indeed, you have legitimate cause to dip into metaethics and make it a part of your conversation.
Posted by: Eliezer Yudkowsky | July 29, 2008 at 12:09 PM
Unknown: "But it is quite impossible that the complicated calculation in Eliezer's brain should be exactly the same as the one in any of us: and so by our standards, Eliezer's morality is immoral. And this opinion is subjectively objective, i.e. his morality is immoral and would be even if all of us disagreed. So we are all morally obliged to prevent him from inflicting his immoral AI on us"
Well, I would agree with this point if I thought what Eliezer was going to inflict upon us was so out of line with what I want that we would be better off without it. Since, you know, NOT dying doesn't seem like such a bad thing to me, I'm not going to complain, when he's one of the only people on Earth actually trying to make that happen...
On the other hand, Eliezer, you *are* going to have to answer to millions if not billions of people protesting your view of morality, especially this facet of it (the not dying thing), so yeah, learn to be diplomatic. You NOT allowed to fuck this up for the rest of us!
Posted by: Lara Foster | July 29, 2008 at 12:26 PM
Unknown wrote:
As I've stated before, we are all morally obliged to prevent Eliezer from programming an AI.
As Bayesians, educated by Mr. Yudkowsky himself, I think we all know the probability of such an event is quite low. In 2004, in the most moving and intelligent eulogy I have ever read, Mr. Y stated: "When Michael Wilson heard the news, he said: "We shall have to work faster." Any similar condolences are welcome. Other condolences are not." Somewhere, some person or group is working faster, but at the Singularity Institute, all the time is being spent on somewhat brilliant and very entertaining writing. I shall continue to read and reflect, for my own enjoyment. But I hope those others I mentioned have Mr. Y's native abilities, because I agree with Woody Allen: "I don't want to achieve immortality through my work. I want to achieve it by not dying."
Posted by: sophiesdad | July 29, 2008 at 12:45 PM
Any chance of a post summarizing all of the building block posts for this topic, like you did with your physics posts?
I hate to be a beggar, but that would be very helpful.
Posted by: josh | July 29, 2008 at 01:17 PM
Just another point as to why important, meglomeniacal types like Eliezer need to have their motives checked:
Frank Vertosick, in his book "When the Air Hits Your Brain: Tales from Neurosurgery," about a profession I am seriously considering, describes what becomes of nearly *all* people taking such power over life and death:
"He was the master... the 'ptototypical surgical psychopath' - someone who could render a patient quadriplegic in the morning, play golf in the afternoon, and spend the evening fretting about that terrible slice off the seventh tee. At the time this seemed terrible, but I soon learned he was no different than any other experierienced neurosurgeon in this regard... I would need to learn not to cry at funerals."
I had an interesting conversation with a fellow traveler about morality in which he pointed out that 'upright' citizens will commit the worst atrocities in the name of a greater good that they *think* they understand... Maybe some *absolute* checks are required on actions, especially those of people who might actually have a lot power over the outcome of the future. What becomes of the group lead by the man who simultaneously Achilles and Agamemnon?
Posted by: Lara Foster | July 29, 2008 at 01:19 PM
About the comments on compromise: that's why I changed my mind. The functions are so complex that they are bound to be different in the complex portions, but they also have simplifying terms in favor of compromise, so it is possible that everyone's morality will end up the same when this is taken into account.
As for the probability that Eliezer will program an AI, it might not be very low, but it is extremely low that his will be the first, simply because so many other people are trying.
Posted by: Unknown | July 29, 2008 at 01:25 PM
I'm near Unknown's position. I don't trust any human being with too much power. No matter how nice they seem at first, history indicates to me that they inevitably abuse it. We've been told that a General AI will have power beyond any despot known to history. Am I supposed to have that much reliance on the essential goodness within Eliezer's heart? And in case anyone brings this up, I certainly don't trust the tyranny of the majority either. I don't recognize any moral obligation to stop it because I don't recognize any obligations at all. Also, I might not live to seem him or his followers immanentize the Eschaton.
Female circumcision is commonly carried out by women who've undergone the procedure themselves. So I don't think the Pygmy father will be convinced.
Posted by: TGGP | July 29, 2008 at 01:26 PM
Larry: You think you can convince a paperclip maximizer to value human life? Or do you think paperclip maximizers are impossible?
I don't think that convincing arbitrary minds is the point. The point is that there does exist a canonical system of values. Just because there's an objectively true and canonical morality doesn't mean that every mind in existence can be persuaded to follow it: some minds are simply not rational.
Perhaps I should not have said "I disagree" to Eli, I should have said "what you say is trivially true, but it misses the point"
Posted by: Roko | July 29, 2008 at 01:33 PM
Female circumcision is commonly carried out by women who've undergone the procedure themselves.
Then they don't know the true difference between the two possible lives, do they?
Posted by: Eliezer Yudkowsky | July 29, 2008 at 01:37 PM
I see this line of thinking coming directly out of Hume. Some of Hume's main points, as I read him:
1. Morality flows straight from humanity's values, and that's it.
2. Morality is universalizable among humans because of the psychological commonality.
3. What we are really doing in ethics is trying to find general principles which explain the values we have, then we can use the general principle to make ethical decisions. This is another label for trying to define the big abstract computation in our heads so that we can better optimize it. Hume never really questions our ethical beliefs; he just takes them as given and tries to understand them.
I'm very interested in how Eliezer gets from his meta-ethics to utilitarianism. Many an experiment has been thought for the sole purpose of showing how utilitarianism is in direct conflict with our moral intuitions. On the other hand, the same can be said for deontological ethics.
Posted by: Matt Simpson | July 29, 2008 at 01:43 PM
I don't understand why it must be a given that things like love, truth, beauty, murder, etc.. are universal moral truths that are right or wrong independent of the person computing the morality function. I know you frown upon mentioning evolutionary psychology, but is it really a huge stretch to surmise that the more even-keeled, loving and peaceful tribes of our ancestors would out-survive the wilder warmongers who killed each other out? Even if their good behavior was not genetic, the more "moral" leaders would teach/impart their morality to their culture until it became a general societal truth. We find cannibalism morally repugnant, yet for some long isolated islander tribes it was totally normal and acceptable, what does this say about the universal morality of cannibalism?
In short, I really reading enjoyed your insight on evaluating morality by looking backwards from results, and your idea of a hidden function that we all approximate is a very elegant idea, but I still don't understand how you saying "murder is wrong no matter whether I think it's right or not" does not amount to a list of universal moral postulates sitting somewhere in the sky.
Posted by: Boris Burkov | July 29, 2008 at 01:51 PM
TGGP:
I have great sympathy with this position. An incorrectly formatted AI is one of the biggest fears of the singularity institute, mainly because there are so many more ways to be way wrong than even slightly right about it... It might be that the task of making an actually friendly AI is just too difficult for *anyone,* and our efforts should be spent in preventing *anyone* from creating a generally intelligent AI, in the mean time trying to figure out, with our inperfect *human* brains and the crude tools at our disposal, how to make uploads ourselves or create other physical means of life-extension... No idea. The particulars are out of my area of expertise. I might keep your brain from dying a little longer though... (stroke research)
Posted by: Lara Foster | July 29, 2008 at 01:56 PM
Matt Simpson: Many an experiment has been thought for the sole purpose of showing how utilitarianism is in direct conflict with our moral intuitions.
I disagree, or you're referring to something I haven't heard of. If I know what you mean here, those are a species of strawman ("act") utilitarianism that doesn't account for the long-term impact and adjustment of behavior that results.
(I'm going to stop giving the caveats; just remember that I accept the possibility you're referring to something else.)
For example, if you're thinking about cases where people would be against a doctor deciding to carve up a healthy patient against his will to save ~40 others, that's not rejection of utilitarianism. It can be recognition that once a doctor does that, people will avoid them in droves, driving up risks all around.
Or, if you're referring to the case of how people would e.g. refuse to divert a train's path so it hits one person instead of five, that's not necessarily an anti-utilitarian intuition; there are many factors at play in such a scenario. For example, the one person may be standing in a normally safe spot and so consented to a lower level of risk, and so by diverting the train, you screw up the ability of people to see what's really safe, etc.
Posted by: Silas | July 29, 2008 at 02:03 PM
So, what do you do about inter-morality? Suppose a paperclip maximizer with the intellect and self-improvement limits of a typical human thirteen-year-old. They are slightly less powerful than you and can be expected to stay that way, so they aren't an existential threat. They are communicative and rational but they have one terminal value, and it's paperclips.
How ought a moral human to react? Can you expect to negotiate an inter-morality? Or must the stronger party win by force and make the weaker party suffer non-fulfillment? Is this mis-treatment and immoral? Ought you to allow them a bale of wire so they can at least make *some* paperclips?
Posted by: Julian Morrison | July 29, 2008 at 02:04 PM
I second TGGP that the mention of wearing black etc. is ridiculous.
Lara: The portion you quote from Caledonian isn't at all well-defined itself; it's a near-pure insult hinting at, but not giving, actual arguments. I fully support its deletion. Also, Eliezer isn't saying "keep on believing what you believe", but "keep on following the process you have been"; he allows for moral error.
Lara, TGGP: The most important point is that building an AI, unlike surgery or dictatorship, doesn't give you any power to be corrupted by - any opportunity to make decisions with short-term life-or-death results - until the task is complete, and shortly after that (for most goal systems, including Friendly ones) it's out of your hands. Eliezer's obvious awareness of rationalization is encouraging wrt not committing atrocities out of good intentions. CEV's "Motivations" section, and CFAI FAQs 1.(2,3) and their references address correcting for partial programmer selfishness. Finally, I would think there would be more than one AI programmer, reducing the risk of deliberate evil.
Matt: See The "Intuitions" Behind "Utilitarianism".
Boris: See The Gift We Give To Tomorrow. Eliezer isn't saying there's some perfect function in the sky that evolution has magically led us to approximate. By "murder is wrong no matter whether I think it's right or not", he just means Eliezer-in-this-world judges that murder is still wrong in the counterfactual world where counterfactual-Eliezer judges that murder is right.
Richard: Eliezer thinks he can approximate the GHOST because the GHOST - his GHOST, more properly - is defined with respect to his own mind. Again, it's not some light in the sky. He can't, by definition, be twisted in such a way as to not be an approximation of his GHOST. And he obviously isn't suggesting that anyone is infallible.
Eliezer: It seems to me that your point would be much more clear (like to Boris and Richard) if you would treat morality as a 2-place function: "I judge that murder is wrong even if...", not "Murder is wrong even if...". (Would you say Allan is right to call your position relativism?)
Posted by: Nick Tarleton | July 29, 2008 at 02:25 PM
Eliezer [in response to me]: This just amounts to defining should as an abstract computation, and then excluding all minds that calculate a different rule-of-action as "choosing based on something other than morality". In what sense is the morality objective, besides the several senses I've already defined, if it doesn't persuade a paperclip maximizer?
I think my position is this:
If there really was such a thing as an objective morality, it would be the case that only a subset of possible minds could actually discover or be persuaded of that fact.
Presumably, for any objective fact, there are possible minds who could never be convinced of that fact.
Posted by: Allan Crossman | July 29, 2008 at 02:47 PM
That point is utterly trivial. You can implement any possible relationship between input and output. That even includes minds that are generally rational but will fail only in specifically-defined instances - such as a particular person making a particular argument. This does not, however, support the idea that we shouldn't bother searching for valid arguments, or that we'd need to produce arguments that would convince every possible information-processing system capable of being convinced.
Posted by: Caledonian | July 29, 2008 at 03:14 PM
"So that we can regard our present values, as an approximation to the ideal
morality that we would have if we heard all the arguments, to whatever extent
such an extrapolation is coherent."
This seems to be in the right ballpark, but the answer is dissatisfying
because I am by no means persuaded that the extrapolation would be coherent
at all (even if you only consider one person.) Why would it? It's
god-shatter, not Peano Arithmetic.
There could be nasty butterfly effects, in that the order in which you
were exposed to all the arguments, the mood you were in upon hearing them and
so forth could influence which of the arguments you came to trust.
On the other hand, viewing our values as an approximation to the ideal
morality that us would have if we heard all the
arguments, isn't looking good either: correctly predicting a bayesian port of
a massive network of sentient god-shatter looks to me like it would require a
ton of moral judgments to do at all. The subsystems in our brains sometimes
resolve things by fighting (ie. the feeling being in a moral dilemma.)
Looking at the result of the fight in your real physical brain isn't helpful
to make that judgment if it would have depended on whether you just had a
cup of coffee or not.
So, what do we do if there is more than one basin of attraction a moral
reasoner considering all the arguments can land in? What if there are no
basins?
Posted by: Marcello | July 29, 2008 at 03:31 PM
Caledonian: I can't think of anyone EVER choosing to interpret statements as stupid rather than sensible to the degree to which you do on this blog. There is usually NO ambiguity and you still get things wrong and then blame them for being stupid.
In all honesty why do you post here? On your own blog you are articulate and intelligent. Why not stick with that and leave commenting to people who want to actually respond to what people say rather than to straw men?
Posted by: michael vassar | July 29, 2008 at 04:00 PM
We've been told that a General AI will have power beyond any despot known to history.
If that will be then we are doomed. Power corrupts. In theory an AI, not being human, might resist the corruption, but I wouldn't bet on that. I do not think it is a mere peculiarity of humanity that we are vulnerable to corruption.
We humans are kept in check by each other. We might therefore hope, and attempt to engineer, a proliferation of self-improving AIs, to form a society and to keep each other in check. With luck, cooperative AIs might be more successful at improving themselves - just as honest folk are for the most part more successful than criminals - and thus tend for the most part to out-pace the would-be despots.
As far as how a society of AIs would relate to humans, there are various possibilities. One dystopia imagines that humans will be treated like lower animals, but this is not necessarily what will happen. Animals are not merely dumb, but unable to take part in mutual respect of rights. We humans will always be able to and so might well remain forever recipients of an AI respect for our rights however much they evolve past us. We may of course be excluded from aspects of AI society which we humans are not able to handle, just as we exclude animals from rights. We may never earn hyper-rights, whatever those may be. But we might retain our rights.
Posted by: Constant | July 29, 2008 at 04:08 PM
Nick,
Eliezer's one-place function is exactly infallible, because he defines "right" as its output.
I misunderstood some of Eliezer's notation. I now take his function to be an extrapolation of his volition rather than anyone else's. I don't think this weakens my point: if there were a rock somewhere with a lookup table for this function written on it, Eliezer should always follow the rock rather than his own insights (and according to Eliezer everyone else should too), and this remains true even if there is no such rock.
Furthermore, the morality function is based on extrapolated volition. Someone who has only considered one point of view on various moral questions will disagree with their extrapolated (completely knowledgable, completely wise) volition in certain predictable ways. That's exactly what I mean by a "twist."
Posted by: Richard | July 29, 2008 at 04:15 PM
[MISREPRESENTATION]If, as Eliezer's defenders insist, we should interpret his remarks as suggesting that there is no point to looking for convincing arguments regarding 'morality' because there are no arguments that will convince all possible minds,[/MISREPRESENTATION] how exactly can this be construed as sensible? How is this compatible with rational inquiry? It's (usually) understood that the only arguments we need to concern ourselves with rational arguments that will convince rational minds - not in this case, it seems.
Interpreting the comments about mindspace being too big as referring to extent, rather than inclusion, still renders them stupid. But at least it's a straightforward and simple stupidity that is easily remedied. If [MISREPRESENTATION]the standard alluded to[/MISREPRESENTATION] were actually implemented, we'd have to discard all arguments about anything, because there is no topic where specific arguments will convince all possible minds.
It's not a matter of choice - there have to be sensible interpretations available.Posted by: Caledonian | July 29, 2008 at 04:33 PM
I don't know much about the ins-and-outs of blog identification. Is it possible that someone could post diametrically, under two names, such as Caledonian and Robin Hanson, in order to maintain a friendship while minimizing the importance of efforts that one considers unimportant?
Posted by: inquiringmind | July 29, 2008 at 04:43 PM
Constant: Corruptibility is a complex evolutionary adaptation. Even the best humans have hard-to-suppress semiconscious selfish motivations that tend to come out when we have power, even if we thought we were gaining that power for idealistic reasons. There's no reason an AI with an intelligently designed, clean, transparent goal system would be corrupted, or need to be kept in check. "Respect for rights" is similarly anthropomorphic. Creating a society of AIs would be very problematic due to the strong first-mover effect, and the likely outcome amounts to extinction anyway.
Richard: Of course Eliezer should follow the rock; by stipulation, it states exactly those insights he would have if he were perfectly informed, rational, etc. This is nothing like "morality as the will of God", since any such rock would have a causal dependency on his brain. It's not clear to me that he's saying everyone else should as well. Also by stipulation (AFAICS), his volition will be able to convince him through honest argument of any of its moral positions, regardless of how twisted he might be. (I share Marcello's concern here, though.)
Caledonian: Eliezer is obviously not saying there is no point to looking for convincing arguments regarding 'morality', but that there are no arguments that will sway all minds, and there don't need to be any for morality to be meaningful. You're being ridiculous. (And how do you define 'rational mind'?)
inquiringmind: I know Caledonian's IP address. He's not Robin.
Posted by: Nick Tarleton | July 29, 2008 at 05:14 PM
Why not, I can't help myself: Caledonian = Thersites, Eliezer = Agamemnon
Thersites only clamourโd in the throng,
Loquacious, loud, and turbulent of tongue:
Awed by no shame, by no respect controllโd,
In scandal busy, in reproaches bold:
With witty malice studious to defame,
Scorn all his joy, and laughter all his aim:โ
But chief he gloried with licentious style
To lash the great, and monarchs to revile.
...
Sharp was his voice; which in the shrillest tone,
Thus with injurious taunts attackโd the throne.
Whateโer our master craves submit we must,
Plagued with his pride, or punishโd for his lust.
Oh women of Achaia; men no more!
Hence let us fly, and let him waste his store
In loves and pleasures on the Phrygian shore.
We may be wanted on some busy day,
When Hector comes: so great Achilles may:
From him he forced the prize we jointly gave,
From him, the fierce, the fearless, and the brave:
And durst he, as he ought, resent that wrong,
This mighty tyrant were no tyrant long.โ
...
โPeace, factious monster, born to vex the state,
With wrangling talents formโd for foul debate:
Curb that impetuous tongue, nor rashly vain,
And singly mad, asperse the sovereign reign.
Have we not known thee, slave! of all our host,
The man who acts the least, upbraids the most?
...
Expel the council where our princes meet,
And send thee scourged and howling through the fleet.โ
Posted by: Lara Foster | July 29, 2008 at 05:50 PM
This post is called the "The Meaning of Right", but it doesn't spend much time actually defining what situations should be considered as right instead of wrong, other than a bit at the end which seems to define "right" as simply "happiness". Rather its a lesson in describing how to take your preferred world state, and causally link that to what you'd have to do to get to that state. But that world state is still ambiguously right/wrong, according to any absolute sense, as of this post.
So does this post say what "right" means, other than simply "happiness" (which sounds like generic utilitarianism), am I simply missing something?
Posted by: Wiseman | July 29, 2008 at 05:53 PM
Eliezer once wrote that "We can build up whole networks of beliefs that are connected only to each other - call these "floating" beliefs. It is a uniquely human flaw among animal species, a perversion of Homo sapiens's ability to build more general and flexible belief networks.
The rationalist virtue of empiricism consists of constantly asking which experiences our beliefs predict - or better yet, prohibit."
I can't see how nearly all of the beliefs expressed in this post predict or prohibit any experience.
Posted by: James | July 29, 2008 at 07:38 PM
Silas: I'm referring to all thought experiments where the intended purpose was to show that utilitarianism is inconsistent with our moral intuitions. So, yes, the examples you mention, and more. Most of them do fall short of their purpose.
Nick Tarleton: I'm not sure all seemingly anti-utilitarian intuitions can be explained away by scope insensitivity, but that does take care of the vast majority of cases.
One case I was thinking of (for both of you) is the 'utility monster:' someone who receives such glee from killing, maiming, and otherwise causing havoc that the pain others endure due to him is virtually always outweighed by the happiness the monster receives.
Another case would be the difference between killing a terrorist who has 10 people hostage and murdering an innocent man to save 10 people. I would think that in general, people would be willing to do the first while hesitant to do the second, though I defer to anyone who knows the empirical literature.
Posted by: Matt Simpson | July 29, 2008 at 07:58 PM
Then they don't know the true difference between the two possible lives, do they?
"True difference" gets me thinking of "no true Scotsman". Has there ever been anybody who truly knew the difference between two possible lives? Even if someone could be reincarnated and retain memories the order would likely alter their perceptions.
I'm very interested in how Eliezer gets from his meta-ethics to utilitarianism
He's not a strict utilitarian in the "happiness alone" sense. He has an aversion to wireheading, which maximizes the classic version of utility.
I know you frown upon mentioning evolutionary psychology, but is it really a huge stretch to surmise that the more even-keeled, loving and peaceful tribes of our ancestors would out-survive the wilder warmongers who killed each other out?
Yes, it is. The peaceful ones would be vulnerable to being wiped out by the more warlike ones. Or, more accurately (group selection isn't as big a factor given intergroup variance being smaller than intragroup variance), the members of the peaceful tribe more prone to violence would achieve dominance as hawks among doves do. Among the Yanonamo we find high reproductive success among men who have killed. The higher the bodycount, the more children. War and murder appear to be human universals.
Eliezer's obvious awareness of rationalization is encouraging
Awareness of biases can increase errors, so it's not encouraging enough given the stakes.
Finally, I would think there would be more than one AI programmer, reducing the risk of deliberate evil
I'm not really worried about that. No one is a villain in their own story, and people we would consider deviants would likely be filtered out of the Institute and would probably be attracted to other career paths anyway. The problem exists, but I'm more concerned with well-meaning designers creating something that goes off in directions we can't anticipate.
Caledonian, Eliezer never said anything about not bothering to look for arguments. His idea is to find out how he found respond if he were confronted with all arguments. He seems to assume that he (or the simulation of him) will correctly evaluate arguments. His point about no universal arguments is that he has to start with himself rather than some ghostly ideal behind a veil of ignorance or something like that.
Posted by: TGGP | July 30, 2008 at 12:27 AM
It seems to me you're saying that what our conscience tells us is right is right because it's output is what we mean by "right" in the first place. While I agree in general that a concept is it's referents, I don't agree with what you're saying here.
Those referents are not values but evaluations. And they are evaluations with respect to a standard that we can in fact change. We don't choose the output of our conscience on the spot, in that sense it is objective, but over time we can reprogram it through repetition and effort. It's evaluations are short-term objective but long term subjective.
Posted by: Ian C. | July 30, 2008 at 03:51 AM
What's "the best of your ability"? 'Best' is a determination of quality. What constitutes quality reasoning about 'morality'?
When we talk about quality reasoning in, say, math, we don't have problems with that question. We don't permit just any old argument to be acceptable - if people's reasoning doesn't fit certain criteria, we don't accept that reasoning as valid. That they make the arguments, and that they may able to make only those arguments, is utterly irrelevant. If those are the only arguments they're capable of making, we say they're incapable of reasoning about math, we don't redefine our concept of math to permit their arguments to be sensible.
We have a conceptual box we call 'morality'. We know that people have mutually contradictory ideas about what sorts of things go in the box. It follows that we can't resolve the question of what should go in the box by looking at the output of people's morality evaluations. Those outputs are inconsistent; they can't proceed from a common set of principles.
So we have to look at the nature of the evaluations, not the output of the evaluations, and determine which outputs are right and which aren't. Not 'right' in the 'moral' sense, whatever that is - that would be circular reasoning. We can't evaluate moral evaluations with moral evaluations. 'Right' in the sense that mathematical arguments are right.
Posted by: Caledonian | July 30, 2008 at 07:27 AM
I'm confused. I'll try to rephrase what you said, so that you can tell me whether I understood.
"You can change your morality. In fact, you do it all the time, when you are persuaded by arguments that appeal to other parts of your morality. So you may try to find the morality you really should have. But - "should"? That's judged by your current morality, which you can't expect to improve by changing it (you expect a particular change would improve it, but you can't tell in what direction). Just like you can't expect to win more by changing your probability estimate to win the lottery.
Moreover, while there is such a fact as "the number on your ticket matches the winning number", there is no ultimate source of morality out there, no way to judge Morality_5542 without appealing to another morality. So not only you can't jump to another morality, you also have to reason to want to: you're not trying to guess some true morality.
Therefore, just keep whatever morality you happen to have, including your intuitions for changing it."
Did I get this straight? If I did, it sounds a lot like a relativistic "There is no truth, so don't try to convice me" - but there is indeed no truth, as in, no objective morality.
Posted by: Manon de Gaillande | July 30, 2008 at 07:53 AM
TGGP wrote:
Unknown replied: A tendency to become corrupt when placed into positions of power is a feature of some minds. Evolutionary psychology explains nicely why humans have evolved this tendency. It also allows you to predict that other intelligent organisms, evolved in a sufficiently similar way, would be likely to have a similar feature.Humans having this kind of tendency is a predictable result of what their design was optimized to do, and as such them having it doesn't imply much for minds from a completely different part of mind design space.
What makes you think a human-designed AI would be vulnerable to this kind of corruption?
Posted by: Sebastian Hagen | July 30, 2008 at 08:32 AM
A mind with access to its source code, if it doesn't want to be corrupted, won't be.
Posted by: steven | July 30, 2008 at 08:38 AM
What does 'corrupted' mean in this context?
If we go by definitions, we have
Most of those meanings cannot apply here - and the ones that do refer to changes in morality.
Posted by: Caledonian | July 30, 2008 at 09:00 AM
A tendency to become corrupt when placed into positions of power is a feature of some minds.
Morality in the human universe is a compromise between conflicting wills. The compromise is useful because the alternative is conflict, and conflict is wasteful. Law is a specific instance of this, so let us look at property rights: property rights is a decision-making procedure for deciding between conflicting desires concerning the owned object. There really is no point in even having property rights except in the context of the potential for conflict. Remove conflict, and you remove the raison d'etre of property rights, and more generally the raison d'etre of law, and more generally the raison d'etre of morality. Give a person power, and he no longer needs to compromise with others, and so for him the raison d'etre of morality vanishes and he acts as he pleases.
The feature of human minds that renders morality necessary is the possibility that humans can have preferences that conflict with the preferences of other humans, thereby requiring a decisionmaking procedure for deciding whose will prevails. Preference is, furthermore, revealed in the actions taken by a mind, so a mind that acts has preferences. So all the above is applicable to an artificial intelligence if the artificial intelligence acts.
What makes you think a human-designed AI would be vulnerable to this kind of corruption?
I am assuming it acts, and therefore makes choices, and therefore has preferences, and therefore can have preferences which conflict with the preferences of other minds (including human minds).
Posted by: Constant | July 30, 2008 at 09:34 AM
I am assuming [the AI] acts, and therefore makes choices, and therefore has preferences, and therefore can have preferences which conflict with the preferences of other minds (including human minds).
An AI can indeed have preferences that conflict with human preferences, but if it doesn't start out with such preferences, it's unclear how it comes to have them later.
On the other hand, if it starts out with dubious preferences, we're in trouble from the outset.
Posted by: Allan Crossman | July 30, 2008 at 09:56 AM
Constant: "Give a person power, and he no longer needs to compromise with others, and so for him the raison d'etre of morality vanishes and he acts as he pleases."
If you could do so easily and with complete impunity, would you organize fights to death for your pleasure? Would you even want to? Moreover, humans are often tempted to do things they know they shouldn't, because they also have selfish desires. AIs don't if you don't build it into them. If they really do ultimately care about humanity's well-being, and don't take any pleasure from making people obey them, they will keep doing so.
Posted by: Manon de Gaillande | July 30, 2008 at 11:34 AM
An AI can indeed have preferences that conflict with human preferences, but if it doesn't start out with such preferences, it's unclear how it comes to have them later.
We do not know very well how the human mind does anything at all. But that the the human mind comes to have preferences that it did not have initially, cannot be doubted. For example, babies do not start out preferring Bach to Beethoven or Beethoven to Bach, but adults are able to develop that preference, even if it is not clear at this point how they come to do so.
If you could do so easily and with complete impunity, would you organize fights to death for your pleasure?
Voters have the ability to vote for policies and to do so easily and with complete impunity (nobody retaliates against a voter for his vote). And, unsurprisingly, voters regularly vote to take from others to give unto themselves - which is something they would never do in person (unless they were criminals, such as muggers or burglars). Moreover humans have an awe-inspiring capacity to clothe their rapaciousness in fine-sounding rhetoric.
Moreover, humans are often tempted to do things they know they shouldn't, because they also have selfish desires. AIs don't if you don't build it into them.
Conflict does not require selfish desires. Any desire, of whatever sort, could potentially come into conflict with another person's desire, and when there are many minds each with its own set of desires then conflict is almost inevitable. So the problem does not, in fact, turn on whether the mind is "selfish" or not. Any sort of desire can create the conflict, and conflict as such creates the problem I described. In a nutshell: evil men need not be selfish. A man such as Pol Pot could indeed have wanted nothing for himself and still ended up murdering millions of his countrymen.
Posted by: Constant | July 30, 2008 at 12:10 PM
Larry D'Anna: The reason that we say it is too big is because there are subsets of Mindspace that do admit universally compelling arguments, such as (we hope) neurologically intact humans.
What precisely is neurological intactness? It rather seems to me that the majority agrees on some set of "self-evident" terminal values, and those few people that do not are called psychopaths. If by "human" we mean what usually people understand by this term, then there are no compelling arguments even for humans. Althoug I gladly admit your statement is approximatively valid, I am not sure how to formulate it to be exactly true and not simultaneously a tautology.
Posted by: prase | July 30, 2008 at 12:22 PM
Constant [sorry for getting the attribution wrong in my previous reply] wrote:
I do not know whether those changes in opinion indicate changes in terminal values, but it doesn't really matter for the purposes of this discussion, since humans aren't (capital-F) Friendly. You definitely don't want an FAI to unpredictably change its terminal values. Figuring out how to reliably prevent this kind of thing from happening, even in a strongly self-modifying mind (which humans aren't), is one of the sub-problems of the FAI problem.To create a society of AIs, hoping they'll prevent each other from doing too much damage, isn't a viable solution to the FAI problem, even in the rudimentary "doesn't kill all humans" sense. There's various problems with the idea, among them:
1. Any two AIs are likely to have a much vaster difference in effective intelligence than you could ever find between two humans (for one thing, their hardware might be much more different than any two working human brains). This likelihood increases further if (at least) some subset of them is capable of strong self-improvement. With enough difference in power, cooperation becomes a losing strategy for the more powerful party.
2. The AIs might agree that they'd all be better off if they took the matter currently in use by humans for themselves, dividing the spoils among each other.
Posted by: Sebastian Hagen | July 30, 2008 at 01:05 PM
Any two AIs are likely to have a much vaster difference in effective intelligence than you could ever find between two humans (for one thing, their hardware might be much more different than any two working human brains). This likelihood increases further if (at least) some subset of them is capable of strong self-improvement. With enough difference in power, cooperation becomes a losing strategy for the more powerful party.
I read stuff like this and immediately my mind thinks, "comparative advantage." The point is that it can be (and probably is) worthwhile for Bob and Bill to trade with each other even if Bob is better at absolutely everything than Bill. And if it is worthwhile for them to trade with each other, then it may well be in the interest of neither of them to (say) eliminate the other, and it may be a waste of resources to (say) coerce the other. It is worthwhile for the state to coerce the population because the state is few and the population are many, so the per-person cost of coercion falls below the benefit of coercion; it is much less worthwhile for an individual to coerce another (slavery generally has the backing of the state - see for example the fugitive slave laws). But this mass production of coercive fear works in part because humans are similar to each other and so can be dealt with more or less the same way. If AIs are all over the place, then this does not necessarily hold. Furthermore if one AI decides to coerce the humans (who are admittedly similar to each other) then the other AIs may oppose him in order that they themselves might retain direct access to humans.
The AIs might agree that they'd all be better off if they took the matter currently in use by humans for themselves, dividing the spoils among each other.
Maybe but maybe not. Dividing the spoils paints a picture of the one-time destruction of the human race, and it may well be to the advantage of the AIs not to kill off the humans. After all, if the humans have something worth treating as spoils, then the humans are productive and so might be even more useful alive.
You definitely don't want an FAI to unpredictably change its terminal values. Figuring out how to reliably prevent this kind of thing from happening, even in a strongly self-modifying mind (which humans aren't), is one of the sub-problems of the FAI problem.
The FAI may be an unsolvable problem, if by FAI we mean an AI into which certain limits are baked. This has seemed dubious ever since Asimov. The idea of baking in rules of robotics has long seemed to me to fundamentally misunderstand both the nature of morality and the nature of intelligence. But time will tell.
Posted by: Constant | July 30, 2008 at 01:57 PM
Humans having this kind of tendency is a predictable result of what their design was optimized to do, and as such them having it doesn't imply much for minds from a completely different part of mind design space.
Eliezer seems to be saying his FAI will emulate his own mind, assuming it was much more knowledgeable and had heard all the arguments.
Posted by: TGGP | July 30, 2008 at 03:03 PM
Um, no. First, the last revision of the plan called for focusing the FAI on the whole human species, not just one or more programmers. Second, the extrapolation is a bit more complicated than "if you knew more". I am neither evil nor stupid.
Posted by: Eliezer Yudkowsky | July 30, 2008 at 03:40 PM
What about a situation where Bob can defet Bill very quickly, take all its resources, and use them to implement a totally-subservient-to-Bob mind which is by itself better at everything Bob cares about than Bill was? Resolving the conflict takes some resources, but leaving Bill to use them a) inefficiently and b) for not-exactly-Bob's goals might waste (Bob's perspective) even more of them in the long run. Also, eliminating Bill means Bob has to worry about one less potential threat that it would otherwise need to keep in check indefinitely. You don't want to build an AI with certain goals and then add on hard-coded rules that prevent it from fulfilling those goals with maximum efficiency. If you put your own mind against that of the AI, a sufficiently powerful AI will always win that contest. The basic idea behind FAI is to build an AI that genuinely wants good things to happen; you can't control it after it takes off, so you put in your conception of "good" (or an algorithm to compute it) into the original design, and define the AI's terminal values based on that. Doing this right is an extremely tough technical problem, but why do you believe it may be impossible? Humans depend on matter to survive, and increase entropy by doing so. Matter can be used for storage and computronium, negentropy for fueling computation. Both are limited and valuable (assuming physics doesn't allow for infinite-resource cheats) resources. Comparative advantage doesn't matter for powerful AIs at massively different power levels. It exists between some groups of humans because humans don't differ in intelligence all that much when you consider all of mind design space, and because humans don't have the means to easily build subservient-to-them minds which are equal in power to them.
Posted by: Sebastian Hagen | July 30, 2008 at 04:17 PM
We do not know very well how the human mind does anything at all. But that the the human mind comes to have preferences that it did not have initially, cannot be doubted.
I believe Eliezer is trying to create "fully recursive self-modifying agents that retain stable preferences while rewriting their source code". Like Sebastian says, getting the "stable preferences" bit right is presumably necessary for Friendly AI, as Eliezer sees it.
(This clause "as Eliezer sees it" isn't meant to indicate dissent, but merely my total incompetence to judge whether this condition is strictly necessary for friendly AI.)
Posted by: Allan Crossman | July 30, 2008 at 05:43 PM
I find it interesting that I found many of the posts leading up to this one intensely hard to follow as they seemed to be arguing against worldviews that I had little or no comprehension of.
So, I must say that I am very relieved to see that your take on what morality is, is what I've been assuming it is, all along: just a fascinating piece of our internal planning software.
Posted by: Stirling Westrup | July 30, 2008 at 06:16 PM
Eliezer,
I've just reread your article and was wondering if this is a good quick summary of your position (leaving apart how you got to it):
'I should X' means that I would attempt to X were I fully informed.
Here 'fully informed' is supposed to include complete relevant empirical information and also access to all the best relevant philosophical arguments.
Posted by: Toby Ord | July 30, 2008 at 07:18 PM
To cover cases where people are making judgments about what others should do, I could also extend this summary in a slightly more cumbersome way:
When X judges that Y should Z, X is judging that were she fully informed, she would want Y to Z
This allows X to be incorrect in her judgments (if she wouldn't want Y to Z when given full information). It allows for others to try to persuade X that her judgment is incorrect (it preserves a role for moral argument). It reduces 'should' to mere want (which is arguably simpler). It is, however, a conception of should that is judger-dependent: it could be the case that X correctly judges that Y should Z, while W correctly judges that Y should not Z.
Posted by: Toby Ord | July 30, 2008 at 07:53 PM
I have a newbie question... if A) quantum mechanics shows that we can't distinguish personal identity by the history of how someone's atoms got into the configuration that they are in, and B) morality (other things being equal) flows backwards from the end result, and C) it is immoral to allow a child to die on the railroad tracks, then D) why would it not also be immoral to decide not to marry and have children? Both decisions have the same consequence (a live child who otherwise would not be).
At some point we (or the machines we build) will be able to manipulate matter at the quantum level, so I think these kind of questions will be important if we want to be able to make moral decisions when we have that capability.
If I myself were given the task to program the little child life saving machine, I admit that right now I wouldn't know how to do better than a naive leads-to-child-living rule which would result in the mass of the observable universe being converted into habitat for children...
Assuming that we want it-all-adds-up-to-normalcy, we would hope to find a rule consistent with quantum mechanics that would end up with saving the life of a child on the railroad tracks having a higher moral imperative than converting the available mass of the universe into children (and habitat etc. so that they have happy fulfilling lives etc...)
The it-all-adds-up-to-normalcy approach though reminds me a bit of the correspondence principle in quantum mechanics. (The correspondence principle says that for large systems quantum mechanics should give the same result as classical mechanics). The principle was very useful when quantum mechanics was first being developed, but it completely broke down once we had large systems such as superconductors which could not be described classically. Similarly, I can imagine that perhaps my moral judgments would change if I was able to integrate the reality of quantum mechanics into my moral thinking.
Posted by: Cat Dancer | August 01, 2008 at 10:48 AM